The Kansas City Chiefs are coming into the 2025 NFL regular season with one, singular goal. They want to erase the disappointment of last year’s Super Bowl loss by winning it all this year.
The good news for everyone associated with the Chiefs is that Patrick Mahomes will return for another season as the team’s starting quarterback. He is already one of the greatest to ever play the position and there’s no reason to think he won’t play at a high level in 2025.
The franchise invested heavily in players who can help Mahomes play like an MVP. They used their first round pick on left tackle Josh Simmons. The plan in Kansas City is for him to protect their legendary quarterback’s blind side for years to come. Splashing massive cash on a new contract for guard Trey Smith also should help give Mahomes plenty of time to throw.
The steady improvement of Kansas City’s defense under the watchful eye of coordinator Steve Spagnuolo has been an underrated development on the national landscape. The acquisition of Kristian Fulton to start at cornerback could turn into one of the best value signings of the year. He should thrive playing in Spagnuolo’s aggressive defensive system.
The Chiefs have a legitimate shot to win it all this year but they’ll need some pleasant performances from some players on the roster. Here are three bold predictions on how things will play out in Kansas City.
1. Patrick Mahomes will reverse a worrying personal trend
At the height of his pomp and power, Mahomes loved to push the ball down the field with devastating efficiency. Over the past several years, his willingness to take deep shots down the field has been in sharp decline.
Part of that can be attributed to the talent surrounding him on the Chiefs’ roster. The front office made a clear choice to let some high-priced talent at wide receiver walk out the door. The departure of guys like Tyreek Hill gave Mahomes less optionality when it comes to throwing it deep.
The uneven play of the offensive line has also meant the Chiefs’ offense was smarter to rely on quick passes. Getting the ball out of Mahomes’ hands has helped him stay healthy. It has not, however, served to strike fear in the hearts of opposing defenses.
The specific prediction here is that Mahomes will see his yards per attempt total increase in 2025. It dropped to a career low of 6.6 yards last season, which was almost three yards fewer than the highest mark of his career.